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âWhat would this look like if no one had done it before?â
That question helped Elon Musk build a rocket company.
Hereâs how the story goesâŠ
One day, Elon Musk wanted to send something to Mars.
He looked into buying rockets.
Price tag? Astronomical.
Most people wouldâve stopped there.
There was no prior example of a rocket startup succeeding.
Instead, it was his differentiated thinking that led to success:
âThe typical approach that people would take to how much rockets should cost, and they look historically at what the cost of rockets are and assume that any new rocket must be somewhat similar to the prior cost of rockets.
A first principles approach would be to look at the materials the rocket is comprised of.
How much does the rocket weigh?
What are the constituent elements and how much those weigh?
You realize the raw materials of a rocket are only 1 or 2% of the historical cost of a rocket.
So the manufacturing must be necessarily very inefficient, if the raw materials cost is only 1 or 2%.â
âElon Musk
This is first principles thinking.
â Break down assumptions to physics and truths
â Reason up from those truths
Then SpaceX happened.
First private space venture that succeeded, when all others failed.
They didnât copy anyoneâthey differentiated by asking better questions and seeking fundamental truth.
This Weekâs ABC
Advice: My first principles for a busy life
Breakthrough: Elonâs recent YC talk, where he talks about first principles and more
Challenge: Think about it!
đ Advice: First Principles x Busy Life
âTo escape the illusion of knowledge, you must return to the naked truth of what you know for certain.â âJames Clear
People often ask me:
âHow do you decide where to spend your time?â
I have a lot going on.
Itâs like my brain has 47 tabs open at once:
Executive-level day job â leading a transformation initiative across 1,600 engineers
Bootstrapping Epistemic Me â juggling sales pipeline, marketing engine, partnerships, and product work
And then the life stuff:
Health â trying to keep my health optimal, and trying to further my elite rock climbing dreams while maintaining a great longevity protocol
Family â emotional and financial support in managing the stress of my brotherâs health, and recently family dogâs health and vet bills, and other not so fun family dynamics
Housing â dealing with contractors, inspectors, and an HOA for repair/remodel work
Everything else â keeping my home clean, laundry, food, and maintaining some semblance of a social life (Iâm trying)
If youâre reading this newsletter, youâre probably also of the category of people afflicted with ambition and choosing to do moreâjust because.
So maybe you also feel like you have 47 tabs open in your brain all the time.
Hereâs how I think about my juggling, from first principles.
It leaves me feeling good about how I invest my timeâfor the most part (itâs a juggle after all!).
Step 1: What is the goal?
âThe first principle is that you must not fool yourself â and you are the easiest person to fool.â
â Richard Feynman
â I want Epistemic Me to succeed.
â To succeed, the business must grow.
â Growth requires revenue.
â Revenue comes from customers.
â Customers buy value.
Soâwho creates that value?
We do.
Me and my Co-Founder, Jonathan.
No one else.
Step 2: Where does that value come from?
âYour work is going to fill a large part of your life⊠and the only way to be truly satisfied is to do what you believe is great work.â
âSteve Jobs
Time and energy.
Time and energy applied toâŠ
â The insight, the code, the product design, the vision.
â To talk to users.
â To ship experiments.
â To reflect, pivot, adapt.
So my time and energy must feed that core:
Build the right things
Talk to the right users
Run the right experiments
Stay radically clear-headed (or at least, try)
Step 3: What gives me time and energy?
âTake care of your body. Itâs the only place you have to live.â
âJim Rohn
Money helpsâit buys back time and reduces friction.
But Iâm still bootstrapping. Until cash flow hits positive, my time and energy are limited and precious.
So I have to ask:
What else is in my control?
Health.
All of itâphysical, mental, emotional.
Without it, the engine fails.
Think about it:
No health + money = broken engine
Health + no money = engine still runs
In fact, with better health, I find I have more capacity for critical reasoning and thinking.
Better health â more quality thoughts â more quality execution.
From first principles, I always keep my health number 1.
I mean, if I were dead or incapacitated in the hospital, could I work on Epistemic Me?
Could I be a good brother or son?
Of course not.
So health is number one.
The 2 Metrics That Rule My Time
âWhat gets measured gets managed.â
âPeter Drucker
Once thatâs in place, I zoom out to where my time and energy goâspecifically, toward two levers that help me as a clear mental model:
CLV: Am I increasing the value of what we deliver? (Product, insights, vision, code, outcomes)
CAC: Am I lowering the cost of getting it into the right hands? (Marketing engine, content flywheel, sales pipeline, partnerships)
All of my activities for Epistemic Me go towards furthering these two metrics at the end of the day.
I regularly review the ratio of time and energy spent, and mentally think about it from these 2 vectors.
Health first, CLV and CAC next.
The hierarchy is simple:
Health
Value creation
Value distribution
I do a weekly gut-check against these.
If it doesnât touch Health, CLV or CAC, itâs noise.
đ Breakthrough: Building Rockets from First Principles
Loved this talk.
Like him or not, Elonâs mental models described here interlaced with his entrepreneurial journey were very valuable to listen to.
Some key quotes I liked:
âDonât aspire to gloryâaspire to be useful.â
âThe major failure mode is when your ego-to-ability ratio exceeds 1.â
Some of my takeaways:
Useful > Great: Elon didnât set out to be great. He just wanted to solve real problems. Thatâs a powerful north star in a world obsessed with optics.
Donât outsource your thinking, think for yourself: From legacy media to NASA to VC capital, he rejected constraints that didnât make sense. Effective people challenge default assumptions.
First principles are a superpower: Breaking complex systems into elemental truthsâthen reasoning upâlets you see the world a different way and solve the right problems.
Iâm liking this first principles kick!
Next week Iâll write about communicating through conflict, with first principles. Stay tuned!
đ„ Challenge: Think About It
And if youâre an entrepreneurâdo yourself a favor and:
Look at your calendar for last week.
Mark down all the time you spent towards CLV or CAC.
Ask yourself, if this is the right ratio to achieve your goals.
Your future self will thank you.
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P.S. If you havenât already checked out my other newsletter, ABCs for Building The Future, where I reflect on my founderâs journey building a venture in the open. Check out my learnings on product, leadership, entrepreneurship, and moreâin real time!
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